top of page

Free2Play Seer's Game Strategy

How to get the most out of Seer's Game if you're a Free-to-Play or Budget Player!

ree

The Seer's Game event is here! Complete quests to earn Seer’s Coins, then use them in a special mini-game packed with precious rewards.


Huge shout out to Psyclone for all the charts and date in this blog!

I'm an Aerospace Engineering and spreadsheet nerd. Since you like to provide information for Free-To-Play and Budget players, here's some statistics for the Seer's Game event.

Table of Contents

What are the Chances to Win Seer's Game?

The Reality of Seer's Game for Free to Play and Budget Players

Best Seer's Game Strategy for Free to Play Players

Best Seer's Game Strategy for Budget Players



What are the Chances to Win Seer's Game?

Huge shout out to Psyclone for all the charts and date in this blog!
Huge shout out to Psyclone for all the charts and date in this blog!

This table shows the odds for the Seer's Game, and how far you can expect to make it with X losses.


For example, in the table above, if you make it to round 18, the odds are...

• 3.86% to have exactly 0 losses,

• 14.67% to have exactly 1 loss (excludes 0 losses),

• 25.27%to have exactly 2 losses (excludes 0 and 1 loss), etc


This Chart for Free to Play and Budget Players

Totally F2P is 1.7% chance to get it with 2 losses or less (but they keep everything they won up to that point... but they can risk everything and keep playing and their odds are 6.1% chance of winning (but if they lose they lose everything).



The Reality of Seer's Game for Free to Play and Budget Players

If you're not planning on spending much money on this event, then the amount of Seer's Coins you can gain access to is pretty minimal. So, you should make the most of what you get!


  • Budget and Free-To-Play (F2P) players can only get 150-200 Seer's Coins

    • (150 from Login Quest and 50 from the 130 Skins Quest).

  • It costs 25 Seer's Coins to start event, then an additional 25/50/75 to continue when you lose.

  • Totally free to play can only afford to lose 2x (costs 25 starting cost + 25 + 50 + 75 = 175 to survive 3 losses).


Huge shout out to Psyclone for all the charts and date in this blog!
Huge shout out to Psyclone for all the charts and date in this blog!

The table above, with the yellow columns, are the odds to advance with X losses or less.


Totally free to play players (150 coins total) only have a 1.7% chance to win all 30 rounds with 2 losses or less. On average (50%), they will suffer their 2nd loss in round 16 or 17 (table with <= 2 losses)... and if they continue and risk losing everything (play until 3 losses), they will make it to Round 21 on average (table with <= 3 losses).


Best Seer's Game Strategy for Free to Play Players

I'm still a newish player (Started 2.5 months ago) and only played 2 Seer's Games so far. I didn't totally understand it (especially the costs) the first time around and didn't fully complete either of these 2 quests... missing out on some big rewards.


Last month, I played the safer route (200 coins budget), and even with very bad luck, was able to complete both the 30 consecutive/total quests...and lost 2x or 3x on Round 5 (first chance to lose).


I paid the extra 25 to continue both times, and got 6 Rounds completed, then started over. I kept playing only until I completed Round 6 and restarted.


Doing this 5x cost 25 + 25 (from loss), 25 + 25 (from loss), 25, 25, 25 = 175.


After completing Round 6 for the 5th time (and completing both quests) I just kept going until I lost again, and then paid 25 Coins to end the game (200 coins total).


I think I only made it to Round 6/6/6/6/11, so my rewards from the actual game weren't that great (thanks to some bad luck)... but I came out ahead of the previous month overall by completing both those 30 Rounds rewards.


I know you said "You Never Want To Exit," but it might be a valid strategy for Risk Averse F2P/Budget players... since the rewards for completing 25/30 rounds (total/consecutive) are pretty good.


For budget players with 175-200 Seer's Coins (from completing Skins Quest), they'll suffer their 3rd loss at Round 21 on average... and if they continue and risk losing everything (play until 3 losses), they will make it to Round 25 on average (table with <= 4 losses).


ree



Since this is a very low chance of success, it might also be a good strategy to just go for completing the "Seer's Game Rounds Completed in a Row" quest.


This does not have to be completed in the same game/run.






The rewards for 20/25/30 games in a row aren't too shabby... AND you're guaranteed to complete 30 rounds total as well ("Seer's Game Rounds Completed" quest), and those rewards are very good for F2P in my opinion



Best Seer's Game Strategy for Budget Players


ree



The $10 bundle with 125 additional coins +200 from easy quests = 325 coins




This means you can lose 4x (and keep everything) or 5x (risk losing everything)... which makes your odds 15.4% to win (without risking everything you won during event) and 30.2% if you want to risk everything and play until you lose.


Of course, in these scenarios, you probably want to decide on whether you go for it based on how good of a start you have.


It would be silly to go-for-broke if you lose 4x by Round 20, but might be worth the risk if your 4th loss was in Round 28 or so.





 
 
 
This content is not associated with NEXTERS, is not supported, sponsored or approved by NEXTERS,
and NEXTERS is not responsible or liable for it.
All artwork and gameplay footage are the sole property of Nexters Global/Hero Wars unless otherwise stated.
bottom of page